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Global Warming and Decision Theory

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Global Warming and Decision Theory

Postby NuWaveRx » Thu Oct 11, 2007 11:58 pm

Interesting debate concerning the use of decision theory in determining if action should be taken concerning the Global Warming issue. The part I'm concerned about is not applying degree of probability in determining risk:

http://www.break.com/index/global-warmi ... -back.html

This is an issue I've always been on the fence about. At the least this is a civil discourse (with himself, of course) that should generate similar civil debate.

Your thoughts?
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Postby hutter » Sun Oct 21, 2007 11:12 am

Watch "The Great Global Warming Swindle". If you follow the dollar, it all becomes clear.
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Postby enzfan » Sun Oct 21, 2007 12:23 pm

Maybe in a hundred years from now they will be decrying how the earth is rapidly cooling. Global cooling will be the new catch phrase when the cycle changes. It amazes me that with the earth being around for millions of years they can take such a miniscule sample of data and conclude the world as we know it is comming to an end.
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Postby shovelbum » Mon Oct 22, 2007 1:16 am

miniscule sample. You're funny, and not very well informed.

"Man is not a rational animal, he is a rationalizing animal." ~Robert Heinlein
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Postby eight6 » Mon Oct 22, 2007 1:28 am

[quote][i]Originally posted by shovelbum[/i]
<br>miniscule sample. You're funny, and not very well informed.

"Man is not a rational animal, he is a rationalizing animal." ~Robert Heinlein
[/quote]

I'm surprised you didn't accuse him of being in the oil industry's pocket. That is the usual cry from the Goreoids isn't it?




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Postby enzfan » Mon Oct 22, 2007 2:45 am

If the leading scientific scholars of our day Al Gore and Leonardo DiCaprio say it's so, who's to question it.
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Postby eight6 » Mon Oct 22, 2007 6:53 am

[quote][i]Originally posted by enzfan[/i]
<br>If the leading scientific scholars of our day Al Gore and Leonardo DiCaprio say it's so, who's to question it.
[/quote]

You can't beat their credentials.




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Postby hutter » Mon Oct 22, 2007 6:56 am

[quote][i]Originally posted by eight6[/i]
<br>[quote][i]Originally posted by enzfan[/i]
<br>If the leading scientific scholars of our day Al Gore and Leonardo DiCaprio say it's so, who's to question it.
[/quote]

You can't beat their credentials.


[/quote]
Well, in Algore's defense, he did invent the internet. And Leonardo was on Growing Pains. So there you go.
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Postby enzfan » Mon Oct 22, 2007 7:22 am

In an attempt to reduce the release of harmful greenhouse gases, I am urging everyone on this board to cut back by 25% their own flatulence. I vow to swear off cabbage rolls and refried beans in doing my part.[:)]
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Postby edisonoside » Mon Oct 22, 2007 12:03 pm

Global warming will melt the mercury fillings in your mouths thus killing us all very s l o w l y [:D] Now I why my brain is so damaged[:o)]?
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Postby SallyLightfoot » Mon Oct 22, 2007 12:27 pm

Here we go again with Gore Derangement Syndrome. Since we hate the messenger and don't trust the left-wing America-hating scientific community, well the message must be crap then.

It's so easy to judge scientific findings and shape public policy when we apply sufficient ignorance and hate to our thought processes! Why didn't Limbaugh win the Nobel! He wuz robbed!
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Postby hutter » Mon Oct 22, 2007 1:50 pm

[quote][i]Originally posted by SallyLightfoot[/i]
<br>Here we go again with Gore Derangement Syndrome. Since we hate the messenger and don't trust the left-wing America-hating scientific community, well the message must be crap then.

It's so easy to judge scientific findings and shape public policy when we apply sufficient ignorance and hate to our thought processes! Why didn't Limbaugh win the Nobel! He wuz robbed!
[/quote]
Blah blah blah whatever.
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Postby marie3 » Mon Oct 22, 2007 9:04 pm

Didn't you hear? Fox news reports greenhouse gases and pollution is actually good for the earth. [:p]
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Postby eight6 » Tue Oct 23, 2007 12:15 am

[quote][i]Originally posted by SallyLightfoot[/i]
<br>Here we go again with Gore Derangement Syndrome. Since we hate the messenger and don't trust the left-wing America-hating scientific community, well the message must be crap then.

It's so easy to judge scientific findings and shape public policy when we apply sufficient ignorance and hate to our thought processes! Why didn't Limbaugh win the Nobel! He wuz robbed!
[/quote]

The Goreoids have certainly cheapened whatever valid content "the message" contains. As well, they do an equally good job of applying ignorance to opposing scientific findings.




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Postby MARV » Tue Oct 23, 2007 1:01 am

The worst thing they do to their cause is present it in an obnoxious or condescending manner, using it as an opportunity to take cheap shots at political or lifestyle opponents. What should be an inclusive discussion usually becomes a petty insult match. Pretty idiotic considering you're only alienating your team mates...yes, every human being is on the same end of the environment stick and nature won't pick and choose who to be kind to. I almost have to ask myself if some of the more outspoken proponents of GW theory are only so just to be vindictive towards others.

But anyway, in the spirit of NuWave's call for civility, I too have been on the fence at least about certain scientific evidence. It seems that for every one study that happens, there's another that contradicts it. In spite of that, I do my own best to be as environmentally friendly as I can. For example, I car pool, walk or use public transportation when I can, recycle always, use minimal electricity and reuse or repurpose when I can. I compost and stay away from harsh chemicals on my lawn, do lots of planting including trees and buy local produce. But I know that all this is pretty tiny compared to what else is going on in the world. I work in a retail industry and knowing how very much product is produced in the Far East for example, the factory refuse can only be staggering especially where standards are hardly analyzed as they are here.

<a href="http://www.worldwildlife.org/cetaceans/index.cfm">Own. Rule. All.</a>
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