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Collapse of U.S. economy?

Reserved for off-topic posts.

Postby KYYX4ever » Mon Mar 10, 2008 7:24 am

[quote][i]Originally posted by coop41[/i]
<br>[quote]So, was the WTF directed at Bush???
[/quote]

Yes! How could he not be aware ?
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Postby coop41 » Mon Mar 10, 2008 7:33 am

[quote][i]Originally posted by KYYX4ever[/i]
<br>[quote][i]Originally posted by coop41[/i]
<br>[quote]So, was the WTF directed at Bush???
[/quote]

Yes! How could he not be aware ?
[/quote]

Gosh, this is an unusual place for me, but wasn't he actually the one that was aware? Nowhere is gas $4 per gallon (in reality, the only quote was they [i] could[/i] reach $4 if....- again, not saying they won't but...)

The average price is $3.20. We would still need a 25% increase in prices for it to get to $4. Again, possible by all means but....
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Postby i_like_lectric_motors » Mon Mar 10, 2008 7:35 am

$3.20 is nothing. I hope it continues to climb. I'd really like to see it hit $10/gallon in time for our next foliage season.
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Postby Bitter Almonds » Mon Mar 10, 2008 7:55 am

[quote][i]Originally posted by scramjet[/i]
<br>[quote][i]Originally posted by XXX[/i]
<br><p align="justify">Dude, as a kid, I got a coupla credit cards, pr0n, beer, etc. As an adult (and a broke student to boot), I coulda gotten a loan to buy a house in Riverside or east San Diego. Of course, I'd have bailed by now, but I coulda...[}:)] It's so fucked up, it's laughable. I gotta laugh. People used to watch that dude Robert Kiyosaki talk about the promised land of real estate and flipping houses that the dumbasses forgot to ask what a "variable rate" entails - watch as that 1100USD payment quickly turns to over 3000 overnight (how the hell you gonna pay THAT with a 35K/year salary?[8D] ). MOVE YOU'RE DEAD[xx(]
[/quote]

Couldn't agree more on Kiyosaki. Here's a nice review of "Rich Dad Poor Dad":

http://www.johntreed.com/Kiyosaki.html

I had some family members who thought that was the greatest book in the word. I read it and was one of the people the review mentions who were uneasy about the book, but couldn't put it into words.
[/quote]

<p align="justify">I think him being on PBS is what gave him cred, but it still smacked of those "no money down" real estate schemes that're advertised on Sunday mornings[}:)] I'd rather listen to that MSNBC broad. She's sort of the Dr. Phil of financial advice - a lot of it is common sense that most people have lost and just reaffirms some of my own way of financial thinking (although I'm not rich... or middle class). Coincidentally, teh suze also has a PBS rerun every now and then[}:)]
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Postby KYYX4ever » Mon Mar 10, 2008 10:06 am

[quote][i]Originally posted by coop41[/i]
<br>Gosh, this is an unusual place for me, but wasn't he actually the one that was aware? Nowhere is gas $4 per gallon (in reality, the only quote was they [i] could[/i] reach $4 if....- again, not saying they won't but...)

The average price is $3.20. We would still need a 25% increase in prices for it to get to $4. Again, possible by all means but....
[/quote]

I guess I should have stated more clearly that gas prices [i]will soon[/i] hit $4.00, (although I wouldn't be surprised if it was already that high in CA), as opposed to [i]sounding like[/i] they had already hit $4.00. Sorry for the misstatement.[:)]
But a bigger point than than my supposition that it's already $4.00 was that this Pres. is so out of touch and disconnected from the economic reality that the rest of us mere mortals live in. How can he/ they be supposed to work on this issue if they have no idea how bad it is for average citizens like you and me ?
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Postby coop41 » Mon Mar 10, 2008 10:16 am

[quote][i]Originally posted by KYYX4ever[/i]
<br>[quote][i]Originally posted by coop41[/i]
<br>Gosh, this is an unusual place for me, but wasn't he actually the one that was aware? Nowhere is gas $4 per gallon (in reality, the only quote was they [i] could[/i] reach $4 if....- again, not saying they won't but...)

The average price is $3.20. We would still need a 25% increase in prices for it to get to $4. Again, possible by all means but....
[/quote]

I guess I should have stated more clearly that gas prices [i]will soon[/i] hit $4.00, (although I wouldn't be surprised if it was already that high in CA), as opposed to [i]sounding like[/i] they had already hit $4.00. Sorry for the misstatement.[:)]
But a bigger point than than my supposition that it's already $4.00 was that this Pres. is so out of touch and disconnected from the economic reality that the rest of us mere mortals live in. How can he/ they be supposed to work on this issue if they have no idea how bad it is for average citizens like you and me ?
[/quote]

Actually, I wasn't commenting really on your quote, more the fact that the President was being criticized for something that he actually was very correct about, but is being portrayed as he's out of touch. There is no $4 gas, in fact, by real terms, we are quite far off from that and maybe we will and maybe we won't reach that mark but based on facts, he was actually correct. Would it not have been laughable had he given an answer complaining about the 44 gas when there was no factual evidence to bear his claim? He would have been blasted for sure. Nitpicking maybe, but it is funny how we distort facts to support our political agendas (and I mean that for America in general).
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Postby glokstadt » Mon Mar 10, 2008 10:08 pm

[quote][i]Originally posted by coop41[/i]
<br>[quote][i]Originally posted by KYYX4ever[/i]
<br>[quote][i]Originally posted by coop41[/i]
<br>Gosh, this is an unusual place for me, but wasn't he actually the one that was aware? Nowhere is gas $4 per gallon (in reality, the only quote was they [i] could[/i] reach $4 if....- again, not saying they won't but...)

The average price is $3.20. We would still need a 25% increase in prices for it to get to $4. Again, possible by all means but....
[/quote]

I guess I should have stated more clearly that gas prices [i]will soon[/i] hit $4.00, (although I wouldn't be surprised if it was already that high in CA), as opposed to [i]sounding like[/i] they had already hit $4.00. Sorry for the misstatement.[:)]
But a bigger point than than my supposition that it's already $4.00 was that this Pres. is so out of touch and disconnected from the economic reality that the rest of us mere mortals live in. How can he/ they be supposed to work on this issue if they have no idea how bad it is for average citizens like you and me ?
[/quote]

Actually, I wasn't commenting really on your quote, more the fact that the President was being criticized for something that he actually was very correct about, but is being portrayed as he's out of touch. There is no $4 gas, in fact, by real terms, we are quite far off from that and maybe we will and maybe we won't reach that mark but based on facts, he was actually correct. Would it not have been laughable had he given an answer complaining about the 44 gas when there was no factual evidence to bear his claim? He would have been blasted for sure. Nitpicking maybe, but it is funny how we distort facts to support our political agendas (and I mean that for America in general).
[/quote]

Yes, the 91 octane Super Unleaded is over $4.00/gal. in California, we have more taxes added on... Diesel is at $4.09-9/10s and will bring an increase in prices for food and all goods delivered by truck.



<a href="http://photobucket.com" target="_blank"><img src="http://i97.photobucket.com/albums/l237/vespa_boy_2006/Smallerglokstadt.jpg" border="0" alt="Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket"></a>
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Postby KYYX4ever » Tue Mar 11, 2008 1:21 am

www.gasbuddy.com

search for high prices prices in CA--already up past $4.00.
Gas WILL get to $4.00 a gallon, very soon, in many other places as well. Something economists had predicted for quite a while.
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Postby zill » Tue Mar 11, 2008 3:24 pm

This is such a fucking load of shit I don't even know where to begin. I'm too tired right now. But I will take any wagers from any of you that the US economy will NOT collapse in the third quarter of 2008.

It bothers me that most of the Americans I do business with these days have adopted this doom and gloom attitude. If there is a nation with the resilience and fotitude to weather turbulent and uncertain economic times, it is the US. Come November, a little bit of leadership will go a long way.
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Postby bjorn82 » Thu Mar 13, 2008 6:19 am

Dollar's clout sinks worldwide

By ALAN CLENDENNING, AP Business Writer 1 hour, 6 minutes ago

SAO PAULO, Brazil - Antique store owners in lower Manhattan, ticket vendors at India's Taj Mahal and Brazilian business executives heading to China all have one thing in common these days: They don't want U.S. dollars.

Hit by a free fall with no end in sight, the once mighty U.S. dollar is no longer just crashing on currency markets and making life more expensive for American tourists and business people abroad; its clout is evaporating worldwide as foreign businesses and individuals turn to other currencies.

Experts say the bleak U.S. economic forecast means it will take years for the greenback to recover its value and prestige.

Negative dollar sentiment is growing in nations where the dollar was historically accepted as equal or better than local currency — and dollar aversion is even extending to some quarters in the United States.

At the Taj Mahal, dollars were always legal tender, alongside rupees, for entry into the palace. But because of the falling value of the dollar, the government implemented a rupees-only policy a month ago. Indian merchants catering to tourists have also turned bearish on the dollar.

"Gone are the days when we used to run after dollars, holding onto them for rainy days," said Vijay Narain, a tour operator in the city of Agra where the Taj Mahal is located. "Now we prefer the euro. It gives us more riches."

In Bolivia, billboards feature George Washington's image on a $1 bill alongside a bright pink 500 euro note, encouraging savers to turn to the euro to tuck away money earned abroad or sent home in remittances.

"If the dollar's going down ... save it in Euros!!!" say the signs popping up around La Paz for Bolivia's Banco Bisa.

And in neighboring Brazil, the Confidence Cambio money-changing service was the first to start offering yuan so travelers to China no longer have to change the money into dollars first. The service is already a hit because Brazil does big business with China, and lots of Brazilians are heading to the Olympics this summer.

"Now we tell people not to take dollars when they go abroad, it's better to change it directly to the local currency," said Fabio Agostinho, one of the firm's managing partners. "If people leave here with dollars and go abroad, they lose when they exchange them. It's the same thing whether they're heading to China, Europe or even Argentina."

In Manhattan's Bowery district, Billy LeRoy, the owner of Billy's Antiques & Props, prefers payment in euros so he can stockpile the currency for his annual antique buying trip to Paris.

"Whip out dollars at the French flea market now, and they'll shoo you away," he said at his store near apartment buildings where Europeans are snapping up units because they've become dirt cheap. "Before it was like the second coming of Christ, but now they don't want it or if they do take dollars, they're going to take their pound of flesh."

The dollar has steadily eroded in value against the euro and other currencies since 2002 as U.S. budget and trade deficits ballooned, but fears of an American recession and credit crisis have sent the dollar to stunning lows amid predictions the slump will continue for a long time.

The euro traded for a record $1.5625 before declining to $1.5586 Thursday while the dollar dropped below 100 Japanese yen for the first time since November 1995. It traded as low as 99.75 yen before recovering some ground to 101.68 yen. The dollar also recently hit a 10-year low against the Chilean peso, and fell to its lowest level against Brazil's real since the nation floated its currency in 1999.

While low dollar cycles have come and gone for decades, experts caution that it's now much more difficult to predict when this one will end because the euro didn't exist as competition for the dollar before.

During previous U.S. economic downturns, big foreign funds typically snapped up U.S. treasuries, helping to shore up the dollar to a certain degree. But the euro and currencies from other nations are now seen as legitimate options, and interest rates are higher outside the United States — meaning the funds can get better returns on investments elsewhere.

"You have the U.S. still holding this trade deficit, but now you have the possibility of a U.S. led recession, and you have a weakening currency. So it's a very dark outlook for the dollar," said Gareth Sylvester, senior currency strategist with the British firm HIFX Inc., which executed $40 billion in currency trades last year.

Nations that were once seen as incredibly risky for investments — such as Brazil — are now seen as good long-term bets. And countries such as China and Russia, with burgeoning coffers of money to invest abroad, are thought to be shifting some of their reserves or diversifying fresh income to destinations and currencies outside the United States.

It used to be important for most countries "to accumulate dollars as a precautionary element against rainy days, but the accumulation of reserves has become so large in most emerging market countries that the balance is way beyond what's needed for precautionary reasons," said Eliot Kalter, a fellow at Tufts University's Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy and a former International Monetary Fund official.

While most experts believe the dollar will eventually regain strength, no one is willing to predict when that will happen.

"I think the factors that are affecting the weakness of the dollar will be reversed, but no time soon," Kalter said.

The problem right now, is that "people just don't want to be holding U.S dollars and U.S.-based equities," Sylvester added. "If you are an investor with a million dollars to invest, you look for the highest yield — you're looking at South Africa, Australia, New Zealand."

And it's not only the big time investors that are looking for other options.

In Peru, where savings in U.S. dollars were long a popular hedge against inflation, many citizens are closing dollar accounts in favor of Peruvian soles.

At the same time, businesses like supermarkets, movie theaters and cable TV companies that used to accept dollars are now demanding soles.

Edwin Figueroa, a 29-year-old systems engineer, switched his checking account from dollars to soles seven months ago as the dollar's decline started worrying him. He doesn't think he'll be going back anytime soon.

The Peruvian sol "is stable now," he said. "And maybe in
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Postby marie3 » Thu Mar 13, 2008 9:47 am

[quote][i]Originally posted by KYYX4ever[/i]
<br>www.gasbuddy.com

search for high prices prices in CA--already up past $4.00.
Gas WILL get to $4.00 a gallon, very soon, in many other places as well. Something economists had predicted for quite a while.
[/quote]

KYYX, In the Hamptons on the East End of Long Island, gas has reached $4.21 a gallon for regular. This is crazy!
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Postby SynthesizerMan » Thu Mar 13, 2008 11:46 pm

Steve Harvey's column from the LA Times finds a little humor in the rising gas prices:

Janice Hough notes that the Dodgers are selling all-the-junk-food-you-can-eat tickets for the right field pavilion for $35 in advance ($40 the day of the game), which is just what they charged last year. "So," Hough observed, "at least there is one place in L.A. where the price of gas isn't skyrocketing."

world of noise
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Postby zill » Fri Mar 14, 2008 1:29 am

Even with gas prices where they are, why is it that we are prepared to pay more for a bottle of evian water than an equivalent amount of gas?
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Postby KYYX4ever » Fri Mar 14, 2008 4:30 am

That is a good question.
I myself have "never been prepared" to pay that for Evian water, or any bottled water. I get my water out of the tap for free ! (well, technically, I pay my utilities/water bill, so it's not really "free" I guess.) Not to mention all those plastic bottles clogging up our landfills and mother earth.
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Postby Bitter Almonds » Fri Mar 14, 2008 12:35 pm

[quote][i]Originally posted by zill[/i]
<br>Even with gas prices where they are, why is it that we are prepared to pay more for a bottle of evian water than an equivalent amount of gas?
[/quote]

<p align="justify">I turn on the tap and let 'er rip, but the car don't run on tap water, man[}:)] The public transportation system here in SoCal is nonexistent - and my job requires me to drive all day.

These are truly some of the worst years I have seen here in the US.
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